Tomorrow is the day - and for the last couple of weeks I have felt for what purple America goes through every election cycle. Ol Bernie has been raining money down on every tv station there is, at least here in the Rochester market , which I bet is the cheapest of the larger media buys here in NY. Maybe that is one of the reasons that we never see political ads like folks in other states do - the major cost of going state wide here in the Empire State. Sure Rochester, Syracuse and Binghampton are a little big affordable - but I bet Buffalo gets to claim Toronto, and anything too far east or south will be NYC, so we are spared.
So very much special snowflake outrage ( and really, no one does outrage like that do ) over the long held rules of the New York State Democratic Primary. You had to be registered by Oct 5th in order to vote , which has never been a problem. Until this year when everyone under 30 found a new religion about 6 weeks ago.... so now they are sad trombones all over social media.. stupid rules are just so darn unfair when I dont get my way!
Two names on my ballot tomorrow, on X and we are out. I will do a full media black out till like 9:30 when the polls are good and closed. ALL the polls say its Hillary in a big way - but a lot of those got Michigan wrong, so we shall see.
Lets play with the math a little bit, here the eve of New York's juicy 247 delegates, with 44 Superdelegates.
2383 is the winning number
Hillary is sitting at 1758 , including the Supers - she needs 625 to clinch.
There are 1931 left, including New York - just split those in half and Hillary wins, and he falls short.
The number tomorrow will be split and a week from Tuesday are ( delegate count / supers )
Connecticut 55/15, Delaware 21/10, Maryland, 95/23 Pennsylvania 189/21 and Rhode Island 24/9, with all but Rhode Island being close primaries that favor Sec. Clinton. At the end of April by my, I am very sure way way off number crunching , Clinton will need about 250, with Sanders - ( I think ) needing around 861.
Ill re tool this after the NY numbers tomorrow night
Here is some light reading while we all wait :
BERNIE SANDERS IS A BIG FAT JERK...
no, thats not it:
No comments:
Post a Comment